

The poll that lands first
Jordan Williams and David Farrar have spent twenty years learning how one poll can move another. Their Taxpayers’ Union–Curia poll just did it again.

Grant McLachlan
7 days ago3 min read


How Trump will decide New Zealand’s election
The road to the Beehive now runs through the Strait of Hormuz — and the Oval Office.

Grant McLachlan
Sep 33 min read


The octopus that turned on National
Jordan Williams started as an apprentice to the men who wrote the playbook. Twenty years later he runs the octopus they trained him to build — and its tentacles now reach into National’s own polling and the Prime Minister’s “captain’s calls.” This is how the apprentice became the thing his masters never controlled.

Grant McLachlan
Sep 113 min read


Luxon panics and resorts to old MMP tricks
Fifty years after a fringe party decided Auckland Central, the Prime Minister is reaching for the same panic Richard Prebble once rode into Parliament.

Grant McLachlan
Aug 93 min read


























